AI 2027 is our scenario trying to forecast the next few years of AI progress, aiming to provide a concrete story that shows the transitional steps leading to AGI in 2027 and potentially superintelligence in 2028.

I believe there's a good chance that a very capable AI system will emerge between four and 19 years from now, which is sooner than my previous estimate of 20 years.

If I had to predict a year for AGI, I would say around 2030, considering the insights from AI CEOs who have been optimistic about timelines.

My book 'The Singularity is Near' projected that AGI would occur by 2029, a prediction that is now considered conservative by many experts.

I am optimistic about AI's potential to free people to pursue creative ideas and generate innovative solutions.

I believe we have no choice but to be optimistic about humanity's ability to overcome challenges, despite the significant risks posed by AI.

The public's response to my predictions has been divided: some dismiss them as crazy, others acknowledge the historical analysis but remain pessimistic, while a third group seeks solutions to the challenges posed by AI.

Sam Altman believes we are much closer to achieving AGI than anyone thought in 2015, and his predictions about AI's potential are now seen as plausible.

While I believe AGI may take longer than 2030 to achieve, the progress in AI will be mind-blowing and transformative for society.