We're seeing incredible progress in AI, with existing techniques being pushed to their limits and new inventions being developed continuously. However, achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) may require one or two more breakthroughs.

Until major companies achieve artificial general intelligence (AGI), their primary focus will be on that goal, leaving a significant opportunity for startups to improve people's lives and businesses with existing tools.

The biggest obstacles to reaching AGI are new research challenges, as AI research does not follow the same timeline as engineering, often taking much longer to yield results. This non-linear progress of technology can be seen in historical examples like the rapid development of the atomic bomb from the theoretical concept of the neutron in the early 1900s to its realization in the 1940s.

The first AGI will represent just one point in the continuum of intelligence, and its impact on society will unfold over time rather than instantaneously, reshaping our understanding of work and discovery.

The world has the potential to come together to address the challenges posed by advanced technologies like AGI, rather than competing against each other.

While I believe AGI may take longer than 2030 to achieve, the progress in AI will be mind-blowing and transformative for society.

While there are still missing pieces for achieving AGI, the incremental improvements in AI technology suggest we are on the right path. When we unlock the gap between System One and System Two thinking, that's when we make a significant step forward in AI.

There will be more people working for OpenAI after AGI, but each will accomplish vastly more than what one person did before AGI.

Even before AGI is realized, we will see significant societal transformations and economic benefits from advancements in AI technology, alongside challenges that need to be addressed.