The evolution of programming may lead to a new class of engineers who operate at a higher level without needing to know all the low-level details, focusing more on user experience and interaction design.

The evolution of programming languages has led to higher abstractions, allowing for easier coding, but the artistry and design in software development remain crucial.

Coding has rapidly evolved, with AI tools significantly impacting how software is developed, leading to nonlinear progress in the field.

In the future, we may see a shift towards on-demand custom software, where users interact with AI to generate specific code solutions tailored to their needs, resulting in ephemeral programs that solve immediate problems. There will also be a demand for smart individuals who can effectively manage AI coding tools, and if we label them as software engineers, that's acceptable, but the nature of the job will be significantly different.

As programming evolves, the need for manual coding will decrease, with more emphasis on managing agents that handle coding tasks.

As programming becomes more automated, professional developers will become significantly more productive, as the existing logic in large projects often slows down progress. Many companies are bottlenecked on engineering capacity, but I believe that will improve significantly, leading to the emergence of more niche software solutions.

The evolution of programming languages and tools will continue, and AI will likely play a role in shaping that future, especially if natural language can be used in programming, which opens the door for many more people to become programmers and leads to a significant increase in software creation and maintenance needs.

The complexity of programming tools has increased over time, making software development feel more like a domain for experts rather than something accessible to everyone.

The shift in software engineering is towards orchestrating agents that write code, focusing more on reviewing code rather than handwriting it.