The challenge in AI is that while the underlying technology is evolving rapidly, it complicates product development because you have to predict where the tech will be in a year.

The next two to three years of AI development will define the future for decades to come, making it one of the largest economic projects in history.

I don't despair about the future of AI, but it's hard to grasp the scale of change that might occur in a relatively short time.

We've reached a singularity in AI development, where the pace of change is faster than our ability to process it. This rapid evolution means predicting future developments is increasingly difficult.

I believe there's a good chance that a very capable AI system will emerge between four and 19 years from now, which is sooner than my previous estimate of 20 years.

If I had to predict a year for AGI, I would say around 2030, considering the insights from AI CEOs who have been optimistic about timelines.

AI is effective for predictable tasks but struggles with unpredictable or cutting-edge programming challenges.

The AI race is still in flux, with many companies emerging as strong contenders, and the outcome will depend on how key questions about AI development are answered. Building a highly intelligent language model can lead to rapid advancements, with multiple models emerging within a year, surprising the world.

AI 2027 is our scenario trying to forecast the next few years of AI progress, aiming to provide a concrete story that shows the transitional steps leading to AGI in 2027 and potentially superintelligence in 2028.