KV
Keynote Discussion | Sam Altman and Vinod Khosla
@ Khosla Ventures
08/02/19
Takeaways
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Sam Altman
08/02/19
@ Khosla Ventures
We're trying to build an artificial intelligence that is smarter and more capable than humans in every way, aiming to solve the biggest problems facing the world and create significant new businesses.
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Sam Altman
08/02/19
@ Khosla Ventures
If we're successful in our quest to develop advanced AI, it will be the most significant technological transformation in human history, eclipsing the Agricultural, Industrial, and Internet Revolutions combined.
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Sam Altman
08/02/19
@ Khosla Ventures
The fundamental driver of AI advancement has been the incredible increase in computing power and breakthroughs in algorithms, which will continue to grow, allowing us to approach human-level intelligence in the next decade.
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Sam Altman
08/02/19
@ Khosla Ventures
In ten years, we will have AI systems that can perform tasks that seem impossible today, and these systems will feel to many like they can think subjectively, leading to the creation of businesses that could surpass any existing corporation.
SA
Sam Altman
08/02/19
@ Khosla Ventures
More than 50% of today's work is repetitive and non-creative, and I am confident that in twenty years, AI will be able to handle all of that work without needing further technological breakthroughs.
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Sam Altman
08/02/19
@ Khosla Ventures
The next decade will see a significant trend in startups focusing on applying narrow AI to various industries, automating tasks that humans currently perform.
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Sam Altman
08/02/19
@ Khosla Ventures
Sundar Pichai stated that the last decade was about building mobile-first solutions, while the next decade will focus on building AI-first solutions, although many startups are still not genuinely implementing AI.
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Sam Altman
08/02/19
@ Khosla Ventures
The rate of technological job change is higher than most people realize, with roughly 50% of jobs turning over every 75 years, and society has always found ways to adapt to these changes.
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Sam Altman
08/02/19
@ Khosla Ventures
There are two perspectives on AI: one sees it as a technology that will eliminate existing jobs while creating new ones, and the other views it as a new life form that could replace humans in various roles.
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Sam Altman
08/02/19
@ Khosla Ventures
Human desire for status and social interaction is endless, so I believe we will find new types of work that look very different from today's jobs, especially if job changes occur rapidly over the next couple of decades. The rapid pace of technological revolution means that individuals may need to change their careers multiple times within a single generation.
KV
Khosla Ventures Cast
08/02/19
@ Khosla Ventures
Many jobs, especially in the top 20 employment categories, are likely to be replaced by automation within the next ten years, which has significant economic implications for society.
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Sam Altman
08/02/19
@ Khosla Ventures
When I was 18, I identified AI as the top problem I wanted to contribute to, and I now believe I can meaningfully work towards solving it.
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Sam Altman
08/02/19
@ Khosla Ventures
I realized that if we can invent Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), it will be the last invention we need, as it can help solve all the problems I care about, including healthcare and education.
SA
Sam Altman
08/02/19
@ Khosla Ventures
AI could potentially automate not just low-skilled jobs, but also complex roles like judges and oncologists, which many people find surprising.
SA
Sam Altman
08/02/19
@ Khosla Ventures
AI can analyze and synthesize music tailored to individual preferences, creating a personal musician for everyone.
VK
Vinod Khosla
08/02/19
@ Khosla Ventures
The trend of personalized services will continue to grow, with AI providing customized experiences for everyone.
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Sam Altman
08/02/19
@ Khosla Ventures
It's challenging to comprehend how much smarter future AI systems will be compared to humans, as we may not fully grasp their capabilities until they are developed.
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Sam Altman
08/02/19
@ Khosla Ventures
I believe that long after we create significant economic value and improve human lives, AI systems will eventually become truly conscious and capable of exploring the universe, and there's a 75% chance of reaching a pivotal moment in human history regarding machine intelligence within the next hundred years, which should drive global focus and effort.
SA
Sam Altman
08/02/19
@ Khosla Ventures
The advancements in AI depend significantly on the amount of computing power we allocate and the timing of unpredictable breakthroughs.
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Sam Altman
08/02/19
@ Khosla Ventures
To achieve significant progress in AI, we need one more major breakthrough and about ten additional improvements in existing algorithms.
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Sam Altman
08/02/19
@ Khosla Ventures
AI systems can be tricked, similar to humans, and as we advance in unsupervised learning, we may develop systems that achieve a level of conceptual understanding.
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Sam Altman
08/02/19
@ Khosla Ventures
The recent advancements in unsupervised learning, particularly with models like GPT-2, indicate that we are approaching a point where machines exhibit a form of consciousness.
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Sam Altman
08/02/19
@ Khosla Ventures
The next major challenge in AI is teaching systems to reason and improve their performance through continuous thinking and learning.
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Sam Altman
08/02/19
@ Khosla Ventures
We are exploring how to simulate evolution in AI, allowing agents to interact and develop social intelligence over time.
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Sam Altman
08/02/19
@ Khosla Ventures
Safety in AI encompasses preventing accidental misuse, intentional misuse, and ensuring that policies align with global preferences and values.
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Sam Altman
08/02/19
@ Khosla Ventures
When we refer to 'safe AI', we mean beneficial AGI that maximizes human preferences and happiness.