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Dwarkesh Patel Cast

04/04/25

@ Dwarkesh Patel

We disagree with the view that regulatory bottlenecks will keep geniuses confined to data centers; we believe other countries, especially China, will also develop superintelligence around the same time, prompting an arms race.

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2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

@ Dwarkesh Patel

2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

04/04/25

Related Takeaways

Dwarkesh Patel Cast

04/04/25

@ Dwarkesh Patel

If there's no arms race, geniuses might remain in data centers until given permission to innovate, but we believe AIs will push for this permission due to competitive pressures.

Dwarkesh Patel Cast

04/04/25

@ Dwarkesh Patel

We predict that superintelligences will be distributed throughout the economy, focusing on areas they care about, like robotics and arms races.

Mustafa Suleyman

09/04/23

@ The Diary Of A CEO

We need to collectively agree to contain AI and slow down its development, as one country acting alone won't be effective if others race ahead.

Tom Bilyeu Cast

04/09/25

@ Tom Bilyeu

In the context of AI, both the U.S. and China see it as a critical weapon, leading to a prisoner's dilemma where each feels the existential need to develop AI first, resulting in a lack of brakes on its advancement.

David Silver

04/11/25

@ Google DeepMind

To achieve superhuman intelligence, we may need to step away from relying solely on human data in AI development.

a16z Cast

02/07/25

@ a16z

China has demonstrated that it can produce competitive AI technologies despite export controls, highlighting the need for the U.S. to invest in its own research capabilities.

Eric Schmidt

05/16/25

@ TED

The defining battle for AI supremacy will likely occur between the US and China, as they are the only countries willing to invest the necessary resources.

Dwarkesh Patel Cast

04/04/25

@ Dwarkesh Patel

The race with China will intensify as both sides rapidly industrialize, with AIs deployed throughout the economy, potentially leading to misalignment issues.

Mark Zuckerberg

04/30/25

@ Dwarkesh Patel

China's advancements in physical infrastructure and energy production pose a competitive threat to the U.S. in AI development, highlighting the need for the U.S. to streamline data center construction and energy production.