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Dwarkesh Patel Cast

04/04/25

@ Dwarkesh Patel

If there's no arms race, geniuses might remain in data centers until given permission to innovate, but we believe AIs will push for this permission due to competitive pressures.

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2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

@ Dwarkesh Patel

2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

04/04/25

Related Takeaways

Dwarkesh Patel Cast

04/04/25

@ Dwarkesh Patel

We disagree with the view that regulatory bottlenecks will keep geniuses confined to data centers; we believe other countries, especially China, will also develop superintelligence around the same time, prompting an arms race.

Mustafa Suleyman

09/04/23

@ The Diary Of A CEO

If we succeed in containing AI, it could lead to unprecedented productivity and meritocracy, making intelligence widely available and solving major social challenges.

Peter H. Diamandis Cast

05/24/25

@ Peter H. Diamandis

The capabilities of AI are rapidly evolving, leading to increased demand for data centers and chips, contrary to expectations that efficiency would reduce these needs.

Dwarkesh Patel Cast

05/23/25

@ Dwarkesh Patel

The future of AI should remain in a consumer free market to foster innovation and avoid a zero-sum race between nations.

Eric Schmidt

05/16/25

@ TED

The future of AI will require not only more data centers but also the ability to generate new data, as we are running out of existing data to train AI systems effectively.

Mustafa Suleyman

09/04/23

@ The Diary Of A CEO

Containment of powerful technologies like AI requires a shift in our approach to governance, moving away from aggressive competition to a more collaborative and humble strategy.

Dwarkesh Patel Cast

04/04/25

@ Dwarkesh Patel

We predict that superintelligences will be distributed throughout the economy, focusing on areas they care about, like robotics and arms races.

Geoffrey Hinton

01/18/25

@ Curt Jaimungal

The development of AI is unlikely to be slowed down due to intense competition, so we should focus on ensuring its safety as it progresses.

Chris Williamson Cast

04/01/25

@ Chris Williamson

Programmers will leverage AI to enhance their capabilities rather than being replaced by it, allowing them to replace other jobs instead.