The focus should shift from pinpointing an AGI moment to recognizing that AI will continue to evolve beyond our current understanding.

I can't provide a specific timeline for AGI, but I estimate we are several research breakthroughs away from it becoming a reality.

There is no grand plan; our progress towards AGI is a series of incremental steps based on what we need to achieve at each stage.

The first AGI will represent just one point in the continuum of intelligence, and its impact on society will unfold over time rather than instantaneously, reshaping our understanding of work and discovery.

The timeline for achieving AGI has shifted; I initially thought it would take about 15 years, but now I estimate we might reach significant milestones by 2030 or 2031. We had extensive discussions about the safety and alignment of artificial general intelligence (AGI), recognizing the potential risks if something goes horribly wrong.

I believe significant advancements in AI will likely occur after 2030, which is when I think we might see a real AGI moment.

We're seeing incredible progress in AI, with existing techniques being pushed to their limits and new inventions being developed continuously. However, achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) may require one or two more breakthroughs.

The biggest obstacles to reaching AGI are new research challenges, as AI research does not follow the same timeline as engineering, often taking much longer to yield results. This non-linear progress of technology can be seen in historical examples like the rapid development of the atomic bomb from the theoretical concept of the neutron in the early 1900s to its realization in the 1940s.

While I believe AGI may take longer than 2030 to achieve, the progress in AI will be mind-blowing and transformative for society.